Top NFL Player Prop Bets on Over/Under for Week 6

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Top NFL Player Prop Bets on Over/Under for Week 6

New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Key Prop Bets for NFL Week 6

Cam Skattebo’s Rushing Yards Under the Spotlight

The Thursday Night Football match between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles kicks off NFL Week 6. Analyzing the prop bets for this game, it seems interesting to look at Cam Skattebo’s performance. I’m inclined to bet against Skattebo surpassing 49.5 rushing yards. As the Giants enter this game as 7-point underdogs, this prediction appears favorable.

Skattebo’s stats this season show he’s averaging 48 rushing yards per game, with a 3.8 yards-per-carry rate. In addition, competition for carries will escalate with the return of Tyrone Tracy Jr. Sharing the load evenly before Tracy’s injury, Skattebo has been less efficient. During Tracy’s absence, Skattebo had:

  • Week 4: 25 carries for 79 yards (3.2 yards per carry)
  • Week 5: 15 carries for 59 yards (3.9 yards per carry)

Moreover, less than 3% of his attempts resulted in gains of 10 yards or more, and over half resulted in minimal gains. In situations where the Giants trailed, Skattebo had minimal action, handling just eight carries when behind by any margin and only two when down by seven points or more.

Garrett Wilson Primed for High Receptions in Jets-Broncos Clash

In another anticipated matchup, the New York Jets face the Denver Broncos in London during Week 6, making Garrett Wilson a standout bet for over 5.5 receptions. With favorable +113 odds, betting on Wilson to catch six passes or more seems promising.

The absence of wide receiver Allen Lazard means Wilson enjoys a 36% target share and runs routes on 99.2% of the quarterback’s dropbacks. This increased involvement has led Wilson to catch six or more passes in four of five games this season.

The Broncos’ defensive schemes, primarily Cover 1 and Cover 3, play to Wilson’s strengths. Against these coverages, Wilson has secured approximately 40% of his total receptions. He also capitalizes on hitches and out routes, where the Broncos allow substantial completions.

While facing Broncos standout cornerback Patrick Surtain II poses a challenge, historical matchups show Wilson can thrive despite such coverage. The Jets’ status as 7.5-point underdogs creates a favorable scenario for passing plays, increasing Wilson’s potential for reaching the six-reception mark. Though quarterback Justin Fields isn’t renowned for his passing, he did achieve a notable performance against the Broncos recently, suggesting Wilson can exploit similar opportunities.