CFB Betting Splits Best Choices for Friday October 10th
North Texas vs South Florida: Betting Insights and Predictions
Friday night is set to bring exciting matchups on the college football field. As fans and bettors gear up for the action, the smart money seems to be focusing on two key games. Analyzing betting data from DraftKings and Circa Sports, we provide insights into where the odds are leaning.
North Texas vs South Florida: Betting Odds and Market Movements
South Florida (4-1), ranked 24th, recently dominated Charlotte with a 54-26 victory, covering comfortably as 27.5-point home favorites. On the other hand, North Texas (5-0) overcame South Alabama 36-22, covering as 13-point home favorites. Interestingly, the initial line favored North Texas by 1.5 points at home, sparking conversations due to South Florida’s higher ranking.
- Public sentiment is heavily skewed towards South Florida, with 68% backing them against the spread.
- The line, however, has shifted towards North Texas, now favored by 2.5 points, indicating a “fade the trendy dog” strategy.
- At Circa, North Texas captures 45% of spread bets but attracts 65% of spread dollars, highlighting a contrarian position.
- North Texas moneyline bettors gain extra security, and the Mean Green receive 96% of moneyline dollars at Circa.
North Texas’s rest advantage, having been off last week, adds to their appeal. Historically, unranked home favorites are performing well against ranked teams this season.
Fresno State vs Colorado State: Analyzing Betting Trends
Fresno State (5-1) narrowly defeated Nevada 20-17 but didn’t cover as 12-point favorites. In contrast, Colorado State (1-4) suffered a heavy 45-24 defeat to San Diego State. Fresno State opened as a 6.5-point favorite on the road, sparking significant public backing despite recent mixed performances.
- DraftKings reports 70% of spread bets favoring Fresno State, yet the line remains steady at -6.5.
- This highlight a possible line freeze, suggesting sharp money backing Colorado State with underdog points.
- At Circa, the Rams attract larger dollars despite fewer bets, indicating a contrarian opportunity.
Home conference underdogs often present value, with Colorado State positioned as an under-the-radar pick amidst their current losing streak. Their slight rest advantage could be a factor against a favored yet travel-weary Fresno State.
Stay tuned to Emegypt for more updates and expert insights into these matchups as the gridiron action unfolds.
