Estonia vs Italy Match Preview Betting Odds and Predictions for October 11 2025

Estonia vs Italy in World Cup Qualifier: High Stakes in Tallinn

Italy’s Drive for World Cup Qualification Glory

Italy is set to continue their quest for direct qualification to the 2026 World Cup as they visit Estonia this Saturday in Tallinn. Under the dynamic leadership of coach Gennaro Gattuso, Italy has recently shown impressive form, registering consecutive victories in September. Their last encounter with Estonia saw them securing a commanding 5-0 victory. This upcoming match presents an opportunity for Italy to close in on the Group I leaders, Norway.

Estonia’s Tough Road to Redemption

For Estonia, the situation is challenging. Sitting near the bottom of Group I with only three points from five matches, they are eager for a turnaround in their fortunes. Coach Jürgen Henn is hopeful that the return of captain Karol Mets from injury will fortify the defense, while forward Karel Mustmaa receives his first senior call-up. With striker Henri Anier suspended, Rauno Sappinen is expected to lead the Estonian attack, supported by Arsenal’s Karl Hein in goal and defender Maksim Paskotsi from PAOK.

Key Players and Strategies for Italy

Italy is likely to maintain a four-man defensive formation against relatively weaker opposition. The combination of forwards Mateo Retegui and Moise Kean, who were instrumental in their previous victory, is expected to be utilized once again. With injuries sidelining wingers Matteo Politano and Mattia Zaccagni, the opportunity arises for Giacomo Raspadori, Riccardo Orsolini, or Nicolo Cambiaghi to make their mark. Midfielder Bryan Cristante returns amid a strong performance with his club, and Fiorentina’s Hans Nicolussi Caviglia could make his international debut. The Italians are riding high on confidence following thrilling wins against Estonia and Israel.

Estonia vs Italy: Betting Insights and Predictions

Italy’s recent attacking prowess suggests a high-scoring encounter. According to BetMGM, the total goals exceeding 3.5 at -120 odds seem plausible. With Gattuso’s aggressive strategy, Italy dismantled Estonia 5-0 in their last meeting, followed by a thrilling 5-4 victory over Hungary. In contrast, Estonia’s scoring struggles and defensive vulnerabilities underline a mismatch, pointing to another potential multi-goal Italian victory.

Player Picks to Watch

• Mateo Retegui to Score Anytime: With odds at -220 as per FanDuel, Retegui is in fine form, having set a scoring record for Atalanta. His tactical positioning and lethal finishing make him a prime candidate to score against Estonia.
• Moise Kean to Score or Assist: Priced at -320 by FanDuel, Kean’s dual role as a scorer and playmaker, especially his impactful partnership with Retegui in the previous encounter, makes this a favorable market option.

Anticipated Match Outcome

Pundits and analysts at Emegypt forecast a 4-0 triumph for Italy. Their recent 5-0 dismantling of Estonia serves as a testament to Italy’s ability to overpower weaker opponents. Estonia’s ongoing challenges in both defense and attack suggest a tough outing ahead.

Final Prediction: Estonia 0-4 Italy

With Retegui and Kean driving the offense, Italy is well-poised to dominate, likely securing a clean sheet and multiple goals, thereby underlining their resurgence on the road to World Cup qualification.