Trump backed Netanyahu into a corner but potentially saved him too
In Tel Aviv’s Hostages Square, banners reading “We love Trump” highlight Donald Trump’s significant influence. For families of Israeli hostages abducted by Hamas in Gaza, Trump’s intervention is pivotal. He facilitated a crucial deal, bringing hostages home—an achievement Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu couldn’t initially secure.
Pressure on Netanyahu
For months, Netanyahu faced allegations of prolonging the conflict with Gaza for political survival. Critics, including opposition leader Yair Lapid, accused him of stalling negotiations for the hostages’ return. His military actions catered to his far-right coalition’s desires for a more extensive campaign in Gaza, aiming to reoccupy the territory.
Trump’s Intervention and Results
The situation shifted as Trump entered the White House in early 2025. Known for his close ties with Netanyahu, Trump leveraged this relationship to pressure him into accepting a hostage release deal. In January, Trump’s intervention led to a significant agreement, freeing 30 hostages and retrieving the bodies of eight others.
Key Events
- Trump forced Netanyahu to apologize to Qatar over a failed strike on September 9.
- Trump announced a 20-point plan to end the Gaza conflict entirely.
- An envoy was dispatched to secure negotiations, resulting in a pending release of 48 more hostages.
Political Dynamics
Despite Netanyahu’s attempts to frame the ceasefire as a strategic victory, questions remain. The plan permits Israel Defense Forces to maintain a presence in half of Gaza, yet falls short of Netanyahu’s promise of a decisive victory. While political dynamics allowed Netanyahu to deem the negotiations a success, ambiguity remains about the future governance of Gaza.
Impact on Netanyahu
The upcoming Israeli elections, likely before October 2026, complicate Netanyahu’s political future. Trump’s involvement provides a boost, allowing Netanyahu to redirect the narrative. Efforts are underway to end the war’s negative headlines, which have hindered Netanyahu’s electoral prospects. Trump’s popularity in Israel may be leveraged to mend Netanyahu’s political standing.
The Path Forward
While Trump’s involvement has cornered Netanyahu into a ceasefire, the arrangement gives him an opportunity for political leverage. With the elections looming, Netanyahu’s narrative emphasizes peace, a strong IDF presence, and the return of hostages—all while maintaining alliances with hardline coalition partners.
Ultimately, Trump’s influence may transform Netanyahu’s legacy, potentially overshadowing previous security failures. The next elections will reveal whether this political strategy succeeds.
