Palantir Stock Surges Over 300 Percent: Can the AI Software Giant Sustain Its Momentum

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has made headlines in the AI software sector with its stock price surging over 300% in the past year. This phenomenal rise has been driven by increased demand for its AI-driven platforms, lucrative government contracts, and a robust financial position.
Record Earnings and Growth
In its second-quarter earnings report released in August, Palantir achieved record revenues. The company’s revenue reached $1.004 billion, representing a 48% increase year-over-year, marking its first billion-dollar quarter. Notably, U.S. revenue surged by 68%, while U.S. commercial sales jumped by 93%, showcasing strong performance in both the public and private sectors.
Analyst Perspectives on Palantir’s Valuation
Investment analysts are divided on Palantir’s future potential. Mizuho analyst Gregg Moskowitz maintained a Neutral rating, projecting a price target of $165, suggesting about a 7% downside. Moskowitz believes much of the AI excitement is already reflected in the current stock price, despite recognizing Palantir’s strategic position in the expanding AI market.
Conversely, Bank of America analyst Mariana Perez Mora reaffirmed a Buy rating, increasing her price target from $180 to $215. She highlighted Palantir’s growing list of government and enterprise contracts and the increasing adoption of Agentic AI in various operations. Mora forecasts that government sales could exceed $8 billion by 2030, with expected long-term annual revenue growth of around 30%.
Future Expectations for Palantir Stock
Palantir is preparing to disclose its third-quarter results next month. Analysts anticipate earnings of $0.17 per share, reflecting a 70% increase compared to the prior year, with a projected revenue of approximately $1.09 billion—indicating 50% year-over-year growth.
- Fiscal 2025 revenue projection: $4.14 billion to $4.15 billion
- U.S. commercial sales expected to surpass $1.3 billion (an 85% increase)
The forthcoming earnings announcement could act as a crucial catalyst for the stock, with investors keenly observing trends in AI adoption and developments in government contracts. These elements will likely influence the stock’s trajectory moving forward.
Analyst Consensus on PLTR Stock
Currently, the consensus among analysts on Palantir Technologies stock is cautious due to its elevated valuation. The aggregated view consists of 13 Holds, five Buys, and two Sell recommendations. The average price target sits at $156.53, which suggests a potential downside of about 11.67% from current prices.
In summary, while Palantir’s stock has significantly rallied, the company faces scrutiny regarding its valuation. The upcoming earnings report will be pivotal in determining whether it can maintain its momentum in the competitive AI landscape.