Marketa Vondrousova vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Preview Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA Ningbo Open 2025 Round 1
Marketa Vondrousova and Karolina Muchova are slated to face off in the opening round of the 2025 Ningbo Open at the Ningbo (Yinzhou) Tennis Center. The winner of this encounter will face seventh seed Diana Shnaider in the second round. Vondrousova and Muchova, both recovering from challenging seasons affected by injuries and illnesses, prepare to renew their rivalry.
Marketa Vondrousova’s Season Overview
Marketa Vondrousova, playing under a protected ranking, has encountered multiple setbacks. A back injury forced her to retire in Adelaide and withdraw from Melbourne and Rome. She also exited the US Open quarterfinals due to knee troubles. Vondrousova’s highlight this season was her third singles title in Berlin, where she defeated Wang Xinyu. Currently, she boasts 120 aces, securing 68.7% of first-serve points, and converting 47.8% of break points in 27 matches.
Karolina Muchova’s Season Highlights
Karolina Muchova also faced a turbulent season, withdrawing from Madrid and Rome due to illness, and retiring in Wuhan because of heat-related issues. Despite these challenges, Muchova reached the semifinals in Linz and Dubai, and made it to the US Open quarterfinals before losing to Naomi Osaka. Over 38 matches, she has delivered 170 aces, winning 67.1% of first-serve points and converting 38.1% of break points.
Head-to-Head History
Vondrousova leads the head-to-head series with Muchova 2-1. Their rivalry began in 2017 at Prague, where Vondrousova emerged victorious. She repeated this success in Stuttgart in 2018. However, Muchova turned the tables in their latest match at Indian Wells in 2023, securing a three-set victory.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Indian Wells | Round of 16 | Karolina Muchova | 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 2018 | Stuttgart | Qualifying R1 | Marketa Vondrousova | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 2017 | Prague | Final | Marketa Vondrousova | 7-5, 6-1 |
Player Comparisons
The current statistics highlight key differences between Vondrousova and Muchova. Vondrousova holds a higher ranking and boasts a stronger win-to-loss ratio for the year. Muchova, however, demonstrates a notable ability to return serves.
| Marketa Vondrousova | Karolina Muchova |
| Current Ranking: 36 | Current Ranking: 29 |
| Career W-L: 129-94 | Career W-L: 159-123 |
| YTD W-L: 18-8 | YTD W-L: 23-15 |
| Career Titles: 3 | Career Titles: 1 |
| Grand Slams: 1 | Grand Slams: 0 |
| YTD Titles: 0 | YTD Titles: 0 |
Match Prediction and Betting Odds
The match between Vondrousova and Muchova promises to be highly competitive. Given Vondrousova’s recent struggles with injuries and Muchova’s resilience, fans can expect a dynamic clash. FanDuel places both players at -110 odds, reflecting the even nature of this matchup. While Vondrousova appears slightly better on paper, Muchova’s endurance could tip the balance.
Match Lines from FanDuel:
- Set 1 Winner Vondrousova: -112
- Set 1 Winner Muchova: -118
- Total Sets Under 2.5: -175
- Total Sets Over 2.5: +125
- Total Games Under 21.5: -118
- Total Games Over 21.5: -118
