Tropical Storm Lorenzo Emerges in the Heart of the Atlantic
Tropical Storm Lorenzo has emerged in the central tropical Atlantic as of October 13, 2025. This significant weather event developed around 5 a.m. EDT and was located midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands by 11 a.m. EDT.
Tropical Storm Lorenzo Details
Lorenzo is currently moving northwest at a speed of 16 mph (26 km/h). It has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 km/h) and a central pressure measured at 1002 mb. Meteorologists predict that Lorenzo will intensify to a high-end tropical storm with peak winds reaching 70 mph by Thursday.
Importantly, forecasts indicate that Lorenzo will recurve north and northeast into the open ocean, posing no immediate threat to land areas. Its formation coincided closely with the average date for the season’s 12th named storm, which is typically October 11 based on statistics from 1991 to 2020.
Seasonal Impact and Statistics
- Number of Named Storms: 12
- Hurricanes: 4 (including Category 5 Erin and Category 4 Gabrielle)
- Major Hurricanes: 3
- Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE): 91% of average
So far in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, three out of four categories for storm activity are near average. The typical figures by this date include 12.2 named storms and 5.9 hurricanes. Statistically, roughly 15% of the season’s activity usually occurs after October 13.
Unique Formation Location
The formation of Lorenzo is notable for occurring so far east in the Atlantic at this late stage in the season. Historically, such formations are uncommon in areas south of 20°N during October. The last similar occurrence was in 2003 with storms Nicholas and Peter.
Further, Lorenzo is the second storm to form in an unusual location recently, following Subtropical Storm Karen, which emerged on October 9, 2025, just northwest of the Azores.
Upcoming Weather Systems
Another tropical wave is anticipated to emerge from the west coast of Africa, traveling westward at 15-20 mph this week. It is projected to arrive at the Lesser Antilles around October 20. Low wind shear conditions may allow this system to develop into a tropical cyclone.
Though it’s still early to ascertain specific threats, residents in the Caribbean should remain vigilant for further forecasts regarding this disturbance.
In conclusion, Tropical Storm Lorenzo exemplifies the dynamic nature of the Atlantic hurricane season and serves as a reminder for preparedness in affected regions.
