Met Éireann Forecasts Unsettled Weather Patterns in Upcoming Weeks

Met Éireann has released an updated forecast indicating a shift toward unsettled weather in Ireland through late October and into early November. After a relatively dry start to October, low-pressure systems are projected to dominate, resulting in a mix of rain and mild temperatures across the country.
Weather Transition Begins
The week commencing October 20 marks a significant change in weather patterns. While temperatures are expected to remain around or slightly above the seasonal norm, rainfall is projected to be below average initially. However, as low pressure systems strengthen, Ireland will experience increasingly variable weather.
Late October Expectations
- By the end of October, rainfall totals are expected to exceed normal levels.
- Western and northern counties are likely to see the highest precipitation amounts.
- Temperature averages will stay close to typical values for this time of year.
The forecast continues to indicate that unsettled weather will persist into early November. This pattern suggests ongoing low-pressure developments, resulting in rainfall above the usual averages, but temperatures remaining stable.
November Outlook
The second week of November shows no signs of improvement. Met Éireann has noted a consistent trend towards continued low-pressure systems affecting weather throughout Ireland and northwestern Europe. Rainfall is anticipated to remain elevated, while temperatures may experience a slight rise above average.
Seasonal Forecast
- The seasonal outlook for November, December, and January indicates mild yet unpredictable weather.
- Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) models suggest winter temperatures could be 0.5 to 1.0 degrees Celsius above average.
- Despite the mild conditions, the potential for frost and ice remains a concern.
Rainfall projections for the upcoming months vary; models suggest possible periods of both wetter and drier conditions, complicating long-term weather planning. Additionally, warmer sea surface temperatures are expected around Ireland and the Atlantic, which could impact storm patterns and coastal conditions in the latter part of the year.