Atlantic Weather Fronts Expected to End Ireland’s Dry Spell

Atlantic weather fronts are set to disrupt a prolonged dry spell in Ireland, concluding a 12-day period of largely dry weather. Since midweek last week, high pressure has dominated the region, resulting in minimal precipitation aside from some isolated mist and drizzle.
Dry Weather and Conditions
The extended dry spell has also brought about persistent overcast conditions. For example, Malin Head in Donegal recorded merely one hour of sunshine over the last week. As the high pressure weakens, weather forecasts predict a shift beginning on Saturday.
Forecast for the Coming Weekend
- Date: Saturday afternoon
- Weather Change: Atlantic rain front expected to arrive
- Impact: Widespread rain anticipated by Saturday night
- Thunderstorms: Possible in certain regions
While the eastern portion of the country may remain dry during Saturday day hours, rain is forecasted to intensify overnight and persist into Sunday.
Looking Ahead: Weekly Outlook
The weather outlook for the following week appears mostly unsettled with additional rain bands expected to move in from the west. However, intervals of dryness will occur between these systems.
Rainfall Predictions and Statistics
Forecast models indicate that rainfall totals for October will likely be at or above the Long-Term Average (LTA). As of early October, over half of Ireland’s weather stations have already recorded two-thirds of their average monthly rainfall totals.
The Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) supports this prediction, showing strong consensus for a return to less stable weather patterns. This shift is visually represented by a marked change in forecast charts, indicating the transition from dry weather conditions to unsettled patterns.