Daniil Medvedev vs Adam Walton Head-to-Head Preview Prediction and Betting Odds for 2025 ATP Almaty Open Round of 16
The 2025 ATP Almaty Open Round of 16 features a highly anticipated matchup between Daniil Medvedev and Adam Walton. Over two months after Walton’s surprise victory at the Cincinnati Masters, Medvedev aims to level their head-to-head record. The Russian, ranked 14th, is still competing for a spot in the Nitto ATP Finals and enters the tournament boosted by a strong performance at the Shanghai Masters.
Medvedev’s Recent Form and Challenges
Despite being a former World No. 1, Daniil Medvedev’s season has been inconsistent. He has not claimed a title in over two years, suffering six consecutive final defeats since the 2023 Italian Open. Notable results this year include reaching the semifinals at Indian Wells, Open 13, China Open, and Shanghai Masters. Medvedev’s break point saving ratio stands at 60%, reinforcing his competitive edge.
Walton’s Rising Profile
Adam Walton, currently ranked 76th, experienced his career-high ranking of No. 75 last month. While Walton is yet to win an ATP title, his four Challenger titles highlight his potential. This year, he reached the semifinals in Los Cabos and the pre-quarterfinals in Miami and Houston. Walton owns a win-loss record of 13-18, with a recent victory over Schoolkate in Kazakhstan.
Head-to-Head Record and Previous Encounters
- Adam Walton leads the head-to-head series 1-0 against Daniil Medvedev.
- Walton defeated Medvedev at the 2025 Cincinnati Masters in a three-set battle.
Career Comparison
| Player | Current Ranking | Career W-L Record | 2025 W-L Record | Career Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 14 | 413-178 | 34-21 | 20 |
| Adam Walton | 76 | 16-29 | 13-18 | 0 |
Prediction for the Almaty Open Clash
Given Medvedev’s analytical prowess, he is expected to learn from his previous loss to Walton. While the Australian may start aggressively, Medvedev’s experience and higher ranking suggest he is likely to prevail in straight sets.
Betting Odds and Market Insights
At the Almaty Open, Medvedev is favored with odds of 2/15, reflecting an 89% probability of winning. Walton’s odds stand at 24/5. The market also anticipates Medvedev winning by a 2-0 set advantage with odds of 4/9. Bettors looking for value can explore various options, including game handicaps and total games.
