TNF Betting Strategy: Steel the Edge with Steelers Running Back Props and Game Total Under
As the NFL season continues, Week 7 showcases an exciting AFC North clash between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers are currently leading the division, boasting a favorable record following three consecutive victories. They enter this matchup as significant favorites, with betting odds placed at -160 for a division title. In contrast, the Bengals are struggling, having lost four games in a row and holding odds of +1600.
Game Overview
The game is set for October 16, 2025, at 8:15 PM ET, broadcasted on Prime Video. The betting odds reflect a competitive environment:
- Point Spread: PIT -5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under Total: 43.5 (-110/-110)
- Money Line: PIT -260, CIN +215
Game Analysis
Analysts have noted that both teams exhibit a slow-paced style of play. The Bengals, under quarterback Joe Flacco, have struggled offensively, averaging only 4.9 yards per throw. Their running game has also underperformed, with just 16 attempts in their recent outing against the Green Bay Packers.
In contrast, the Steelers lead the league in combined sacks and takeaways, a combination that tends to disrupt opponents’ rhythm, shortening possession times. With Pittsburgh scoring an average of 24 points per game, it remains uncertain if Cincinnati can keep pace given its lack of offensive momentum.
The consensus among analysts suggests a low-scoring affair, leading to a favorable outlook for the under bet. The total has shifted from 42.5 to 44.5 points, yet the projected gameplay suggests fewer points may be scored.
Key Player Props
- Jaylen Warren: Over 49.5 rushing yards (-120). Anticipating more carries against a Bengals defense that ranks 28th, allowing 135.7 rushing yards per game.
- Kenneth Gainwell: 10+ rushing attempts (+325). Given the Steelers’ strong offensive line and the recent uptick in running plays, Gainwell is expected to have increased involvement.
Betting Trends
- The Steelers have covered the spread in their previous three matchups and are 4-0 against the Bengals since 2023.
- The Bengals are struggling, with a 1-4 mark against the spread in their last five games as underdogs.
- Notably, the under has been prevalent in games involving Joe Flacco as a home underdog, holding a 17-3 record in his career.
As bettors prepare for this exciting matchup, a strategic focus on the Steelers’ running game and the total points scored could prove advantageous. For the latest updates and insights, stay tuned to Emegypt.
