NOAA Winter Forecast for Colorado Predicts Abundant Northern Snowfall

A mixed bag of winter weather is anticipated for Colorado as we approach the months of December, January, and February. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its long-range winter forecast, highlighting potential snowfall patterns across the state.

NOAA Winter Forecast for Colorado: Insights and Predictions

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center issues its winter outlook every mid-October. This year’s forecast indicates that northern Colorado has the greatest likelihood of experiencing above-average snowfall. The winter season is defined from December through February, and NOAA’s predictions focus on expected temperature and precipitation trends during this timeframe.

Impact of La Niña on Weather Patterns

This winter’s forecast is influenced by a weak La Niña phenomenon, which is known to disrupt typical weather patterns in the central Rocky Mountains. For temperature expectations:

• Western and southern Colorado are predicted to experience warmer-than-normal conditions.
• Denver, northern Colorado, and the eastern plains are expected to remain near normal temperatures.

This temperature distribution suggests that the northern mountains may receive more snowfall, a common pattern observed during La Niña years.

Precipitation Predictions for Colorado

In terms of precipitation, the forecast suggests that most of Colorado will have equal chances of experiencing above or below-average moisture levels. This balance increases the likelihood of receiving normal snowfall statewide. Generally, during La Niña years, the northern and central mountains tend to receive more substantial snow, whereas lower elevations like Denver and the eastern plains may see less accumulation.

Historical Context: Notable La Niña Storms

Despite the typical trends associated with La Niña, significant snowstorms can still impact urban areas like Denver. For example:

• On March 13-14, 2021, Denver received an impressive 27.1 inches of snow.
• The infamous storm on December 24, 1982, resulted in 23.8 inches in the Mile High City.

Such events highlight the variability of winter weather, even during a La Niña season.

Overall, Colorado winter enthusiasts should brace for a season with promising snowfall, particularly in the northern regions, while remaining aware of the potential for unpredictable weather patterns across the state.