One Battle After Another Faces $100 Million Theatrical Loss as Smashing Machine and More Struggle with Oversized Budgets

The theatrical landscape faces significant challenges as a slew of recent films struggle to meet expectations despite their star-studded casts and hefty budgets. This situation has led to projected losses exceeding $100 million for various productions.
The Challenges in Theatrical Releases
As movie theaters reopen post-pandemic, several films have failed to generate the anticipated box office returns, much to the disappointment of industry insiders. A particular focus has been on high-budget projects that could lead to unprecedented losses.
Recent Movie Failures
- The Smashing Machine: Starring Dwayne Johnson, this biopic saw a staggering 70% drop in earnings during its second week, netting only $10.1 million against a budget of $50 million.
- Roofman: A dramedy featuring Channing Tatum opened with a mere $8 million. Its modest $19 million budget may limit overall losses.
- One Battle After Another: Leonardo DiCaprio’s film has grossed approximately $140 million globally but requires about $300 million to break even, risking a potential $100 million loss.
- Kiss of the Spider Woman: This musical adaptation with Jennifer Lopez grossed $850,000 from a budget of $34 million, further underscoring the current box office woes.
Financial Implications
Warner Bros. is in a particularly precarious position due to its investments in films like “One Battle After Another.” With production costs and marketing exceeding $200 million, the film’s need to break even at the box office is critical.
Market Trends and Consumer Behavior
Analysts suggest that audiences are becoming increasingly selective. Many viewers prefer to wait for streaming releases rather than attending theaters, especially for films that lack blockbuster elements. This shift highlights a deeper trend in consumer preferences driven by pandemic-era changes in film consumption.
A24’s Risky Strategy
A24, known for its indie productions, faces unique challenges as it attempts to scale up its operations. Having completed a funding round valuing the company at $3.5 billion, it has begun producing higher-budget films like “The Smashing Machine,” which raises the risk of significant financial setbacks with limited audience turnout.
Conclusion
As the industry grapples with these realities, analysts urge studios to persist in producing diverse content. Movies aimed at adult audiences continue to be vital for the cinema ecosystem, even as they navigate a market increasingly dominated by franchises and familiar IPs.