Old Farmer’s Almanac Reveals Thanksgiving Weather Forecast: Find Out When New York Might Experience Its First Snow
As New Yorkers prepare for Thanksgiving 2025, weather predictions from the Old Farmer’s Almanac offer insights into what to expect. With significant travel planned, understanding the holiday weather is crucial for many. An estimated 80 million Americans are expected to journey 50 miles or more to celebrate the holiday.
Thanksgiving Weather Forecast
According to the Old Farmer’s Almanac, Thanksgiving week in 2025 will showcase a variety of weather conditions across the United States. Expectations include:
- Cold temperatures and potential snow in northern regions.
- Sunny and dry conditions across much of the East.
- Rain in the western parts of the country.
In the Northeast, the forecast indicates a colder than average Thanksgiving, with varying conditions across different areas. While northern New England may experience snowfall, the southern regions are anticipated to enjoy clear and crisp weather.
First Snowfall in New York
Forecasts for the first measurable snowfall in New York show a range of expected dates across key cities:
- Binghamton: November 1
- Syracuse: November 6
- Buffalo: November 7
- Rochester: November 8
- JFK International Airport: December 9
- LaGuardia International Airport: December 10
- Central Park, NYC: December 13
The average first snowfall in upstate New York tends to occur during the first week of November. Past years have seen snowfall arrive as early as late September in northern regions.
Winter Forecast for 2025-26
The Old Farmer’s Almanac has also released its predictions for winter 2025-26. The forecast suggests:
- A predominantly mild winter across much of the U.S., with pockets of colder conditions.
- Central New York and the Southern Tier may experience colder temperatures.
- New York City and Long Island are expected to have milder and drier weather.
Snowfall Projections
Predicted snowfall totals for different regions in New York reveal significant variation:
- New York City area: 25 to 31 inches
- Western New York: 95 to 127 inches
For reference, last winter’s snow totals included Syracuse with 115.4 inches and Rochester with 88.6 inches. Buffalo recorded 77.3 inches, while Central Park noted 12.9 inches. These measurements illustrate the disparities in snowfall across the state.
As the winter solstice approaches on December 21, 2025, residents should stay informed through local forecasts for more accurate updates on weather and travel conditions during this festive season.
