CFP Bubble Watch After Week 8: Current Contenders Who’s in Who’s out and Who Needs to Step Up

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CFP Bubble Watch After Week 8: Current Contenders Who’s in Who’s out and Who Needs to Step Up

The College Football Playoff (CFP) Bubble Watch following Week 8 reveals the shifting landscape of teams competing for top positions. As the playoff picture evolves, eight of the qualifying teams from last year’s inaugural 12-team playoff had two losses. This trend indicates a forgiving system where multiple contenders remain viable despite setbacks.

Current Contenders: Who’s In and Who’s Out

The following tiers categorize teams based on their playoff prospects:

Would Be In: Alabama, Georgia, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Texas A&M.
On the Cusp: Vanderbilt.
Work to Do: LSU, Missouri, Tennessee, Texas.
Would Be Out: Mississippi State.
Out: Arkansas, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida.

Spotlight Teams and Enigmas

SEC Spotlight: Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt has seen its playoff hopes hang by a thread. Their standout win against LSU marked their first victory over a Power 4 team with a winning record this season. To enhance their position, a win against Missouri would elevate their chances of a playoff berth to 49%. Conversely, a loss would reduce it to 14%.

SEC Enigma: Missouri

Missouri faces a critical juncture. With a notable loss against Alabama, their best victory was a recent double-overtime win at Auburn. A win against Vanderbilt can significantly boost their ranking, as they seek to prove their capability against stronger opponents this season.

Big Ten Spotlight: USC

USC, despite two losses, remains in contention to alter the Big Ten playoff scenario. A victory over Oregon could be crucial, as ESPN Analytics indicates a 72.3% favorability for the Ducks in their upcoming clash. Running the table is essential for the Trojans to revitalize their chances.

Big Ten Enigma: Iowa

Iowa, recently winning four of their last five matches, remains underestimated. They face tough opponents in Oregon and USC, with a narrow window to achieve a 10-2 season record necessary for playoff contention.

ACC Spotlight: Virginia

Virginia currently holds a 39.4% chance of reaching the ACC Championship game, boosted by a recent overtime win against Louisville. A crucial loss earlier in the season may jeopardize their playoff ambitions if they cannot secure a conference title.

ACC Enigma: Louisville

With a 19.5% chance to reach the ACC title game, Louisville displays potential but struggles with an inconsistent resume. Their win over Miami could be pivotal in showcasing their playoff credentials.

Big 12 Spotlight: Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s recent close loss places them on the bubble, yet they maintain a 61% chance to reach the conference championship. Their upcoming match against BYU could further clarify their playoff prospects.

Big 12 Enigma: Cincinnati

Cincinnati stands at 6-1 but faces a daunting second-half schedule. They’re vying to maintain their momentum and aim for the playoffs against higher-ranked entries like Texas Tech and BYU.

Group of 5 Spotlight: South Florida

Leading the Group of 5, South Florida has a commanding 45.9% chance to reach the playoffs, aided by an impressive resume against strong opponents. Their upcoming matches will play a significant role in defining their season.

Group of 5 Enigma: Tulane

Tulane holds an advantageous position with a 14% chance to reach the conference championship, highlighted by their strengths in nonconference play against notable teams.