UFC 321: Volkov vs. Almeida Prediction, Odds, and Expert Picks
The eagerly awaited UFC 321 event features a heavyweight clash between No. 2-ranked Alexander Volkov and No. 5-ranked Jailton Almeida. This bout carries significant implications for the heavyweight division, especially for Volkov, who aims to secure a title shot with a victory.
Fight Overview: Volkov vs. Almeida
Alexander Volkov, hailing from Russia, boasts a professional record of 38 wins and 11 losses, including a UFC tenure of 12-5 since 2016. He achieved notable success with a four-fight winning streak, but recently lost to Ciryl Gane. A win against Almeida could revitalize his title aspirations.
Alexander Volkov’s Strengths
- Height: 6 feet 7 inches
- Reach: 80 inches
- Striking Rate: 4.97 significant strikes per minute
- Takedown Defense: 72%
Volkov is recognized for his striking capabilities. In his last fight against Gane, he outstruck his opponent 105 to 48. If he can effectively defend against takedowns, he may control the fight standing up.
Jailton Almeida’s Advantages
Brazilian fighter Jailton Almeida holds an impressive record of 22 wins and 3 losses, with an 8-1 record in the UFC since 2022. He recently defeated Serghei Spivac by knockout in the first round, showcasing his grappling prowess.
- Height: 6 feet 3 inches
- Reach: 79 inches
- Finishing Ability: 8 KO/TKO, 13 submissions
Almeida’s grappling ability poses a significant challenge for Volkov. He excels at securing takedowns and submissions, making him a formidable opponent. If he manages to take the fight to the ground, he may find success in the later rounds.
UFC 321 Odds
According to DraftKings, the odds for the fight are as follows:
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | +164 |
| Jailton Almeida | -198 |
| Over 1.5 rounds | -130 |
| Under 1.5 rounds | +100 |
Predictions and Expert Picks
As this matchup brings together a skilled kickboxer and an accomplished grappler, the fight’s outcome is hard to predict. While Volkov has the striking advantage, Almeida’s grappling could be decisive.
Ultimately, many experts favor Jailton Almeida to win, likely through submission. However, if Volkov can withstand his grappling attempts, he could turn this into a striking affair, especially in the later rounds.
For betting purposes, the recommended pick is Jailton Almeida (-198) with a prediction for the fight to go over 1.5 rounds (-130). This match-up not only promises excitement but could also shift the dynamics within the heavyweight division.
