Majority in New Jersey Believe Neighbors Support Republican Ciattarelli: Poll Reveals
In New Jersey, a recent poll reveals surprising insights into voter sentiment regarding the upcoming gubernatorial race. While Mikie Sherrill, the Democratic candidate, currently holds a slim lead in overall polling, many residents believe their neighbors are favoring Republican candidate Jack Ciattarelli.
Poll Results Highlight Neighborly Support for Ciattarelli
The survey conducted by Quantus Insights found that 53% of likely New Jersey voters think their co-workers and neighbors are supporting Ciattarelli. In contrast, only 47% believe the same for Rep. Mikie Sherrill, a notable finding as the election approaches.
Current Standing of Candidates
According to the same poll, Sherrill maintains a slight lead over Ciattarelli, with 49% of respondents supporting her compared to 46% backing the Republican. This close margin sets the stage for a fiercely competitive election.
- Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ): 49% support
- Jack Ciattarelli (R): 46% support
Voter Sentiments and Historical Context
GOP strategist Jeanette Hoffman commented on the poll’s findings, noting that they indicate a surge in momentum for Ciattarelli across party lines. Among Republican voters, the belief that neighbors are supporting Ciattarelli is particularly strong, with 83% affirming this sentiment.
Early Voting Trends
Although Sherrill has an edge in polling, she benefits from a Democratic advantage in early voting. As of the latest data:
- 54% of early voters are Democrats
- 28% are Republicans
- 18% belong to other parties or are undeclared
However, the turnout among likely voters remains relatively low, with only 29% participating in early voting. This includes 35% of Democrats and 24% of Republicans.
Important Polling Details
The Quantus Insights poll sampled 1,380 likely voters from October 26–27. It carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points, highlighting the potential variability in voter sentiments leading up to Election Day.
With the election looming on Tuesday, the dynamics in New Jersey remain intriguing. Both candidates have their supporters, but the perceived neighborly backing for Ciattarelli presents a unique twist in the race.