PVV and D66 Neck and Neck with 26 Seats Each, Marginal Vote Difference

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PVV and D66 Neck and Neck with 26 Seats Each, Marginal Vote Difference

Recent election projections show that the PVV (Party for Freedom) and D66 (Democrats 66) are neck and neck with 26 seats each. This outcome highlights the shifting dynamics in Dutch politics, as the PVV gains one seat while D66 loses one compared to previous forecasts.

Current Election Standings

As of the latest data, with 99% of the votes counted, D66 leads by a mere 1,700 votes. This close contest signifies an unprecedented level of excitement regarding which party will emerge as the largest.

Key Results

  • PVV: 26 seats (gain of 1 seat)
  • D66: 26 seats (loss of 1 seat)
  • VVD: 22 seats (loss of 1 seat)
  • CDA: 18 seats (loss of 1 seat)
  • FVD (Forum for Democracy): 7 seats (gain of 1 seat)
  • CU (Christian Union): 3 seats (gain of 1 seat)
  • JA21: 9 seats
  • BBB: 4 seats
  • SP, Denk, Partij voor de Dieren, SGP: 3 seats each
  • 50Plus: 2 seats
  • Volt: 1 seat
  • NSC: projected to disappear from the Chamber

Election Accuracy

The current projections rely on actual election results rather than exit polls, which are considered less precise. The ANP expects to provide a definitive projection later in the day, but results must still be formally validated by the electoral council by the end of next week.

Regional Variations

In major cities like Rotterdam, The Hague, Utrecht, Tilburg, and Groningen, D66 secured the majority of votes. While D66 made gains in Amsterdam, it remains behind the GroenLinks-PvDA coalition.

Conversely, in many municipalities in Limburg, the PVV continues to hold the top position, despite experiencing significant losses compared to the last elections. In Venlo, the birthplace of PVV leader Geert Wilders, the party captured 27.3% of the votes, a drop of 9 percentage points from two years ago.

Voter Turnout

This election saw a turnout of 78.4%, surpassing the previous election’s 77.8%. Notably, both D66 and CDA achieved better results in every municipality compared to the last election, while GroenLinks-PvDA and PVV performed worse.