Apple Stock Forecast: Where Will It Be in One Year?
As the year 2025 progresses, Apple Inc. (AAPL) has shown a modest rise of 5% in stock value. This performance follows a challenging first half, during which the stock plummeted by 18%. Concerns over a high valuation, tariffs, and competition in the artificial intelligence sector have raised alarms among investors.
Recent Performance and Trends
Despite a rocky start to the year, Apple’s stock has gained significant traction over the last three months, climbing 23%. Analysts suggest that this momentum might carry into 2026, particularly following the launch of the new iPhone 17 series.
iPhone 17 Sales Surge
Counterpoint Research has reported that sales of the iPhone 17 in the U.S. and China outperformed previous models by 14% during the first 10 days post-launch. The base model has seen remarkable demand, with sales surging by 31% in both markets.
- iPhone 17 base model sales doubled in China.
- The U.S. and China together accounted for 60% of Apple’s revenue in Q3 of fiscal 2025, ending June 28.
Moreover, many customers are poised for an upgrade, as approximately 315 million iPhone users have not changed devices in four years. This statistic suggests strong future demand for new models.
Increased Interest and Market Response
According to Similarweb, the number of unique visitors to Apple’s website during the recent iPhone event increased by 12% year-over-year. Pre-orders saw a nearly 16% jump in traffic, indicating heightened consumer interest.
Production and Forecasts
Apple has reportedly raised its production forecast for the iPhone 17 models to 94 million units for early 2026, an increase of six million units. This potential increase in shipments may exceed Morgan Stanley’s estimate of 236 million units for the coming year.
Financial Outlook
Currently, Apple has a median price target of $256, with its stock trading slightly above $260. However, analysts predict that the company might exceed these expectations, particularly if iPhone sales remain strong.
- Expected revenue for fiscal 2026: $450 billion.
- Potential market cap if trading at 10 times sales: $4.5 trillion.
- Projected increase in stock value to $302, reflecting a 15% rise.
Investors may want to consider adding Apple stock to their portfolios, as the company appears poised for continued growth into 2026, driven largely by iPhone sales and overall robust revenue forecasts.
