Troy vs. Arkansas State: Predictions and Picks for CFB Week 10, Nov 1

Troy Trojans will face off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves in a highly anticipated matchup in CFB Week 10, taking place on November 1. Both teams come to this game with compelling backstories and statistics that highlight their strengths and weaknesses.

Game Overview

The setting for this thrilling encounter is The Vet, known for its vibrant atmosphere during homecoming festivities. Troy boasts an impressive five-game winning streak, positioning them firmly at the top of the Sun Belt West Division. In contrast, Arkansas State enters the game riding the momentum of three consecutive victories, emerging stronger after a key if late-game comeback against Georgia Southern.

Team Statistics and Performance

As they prepare to meet, here are key statistics for both teams:

• Troy Trojans
  • Record: 6 wins, 2 losses
  • Points per game: 29.1
  • Yards per game: 341.4 (207.8 passing, 133.6 rushing)
  • Defense: Allows 189.1 passing yards and 24.3 points per game
  • Sacks: 23 total, with Donnie Smith leading with 6
• Arkansas State Red Wolves
  • Record: 3 wins, 5 losses
  • Points per game: 23.6
  • Yards per game: 377.6 (235.4 passing, 142.3 rushing)
  • Defense: Allows 434.4 yards and 28.5 points per game
  • Sacks: 13 total

Key Players to Watch

For Troy, quarterback Tucker Kilcrease stands out with 1,234 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and three interceptions, showcasing his ability to lead the offense effectively. Tray Taylor, the top wide receiver, adds depth with 346 receiving yards and three total touchdowns.

On the other side, Arkansas State’s quarterback Jaylen Raynor has amassed 1,876 passing yards alongside his dynamic rushing capabilities. He has faced challenges with 22 sacks but shows promise with his four rushing touchdowns this season.

Game Predictions

The matchup presents a tactical conflict between Troy’s strong defensive unit and Arkansas State’s varied offensive strategies. Troy’s defense, known for its stinginess, has managed to restrict opponent yardage and points effectively. Conversely, Arkansas State’s run game has shown potential, especially after their performance against Georgia Southern.

Strategically, if Arkansas State can maintain strong field position and convert on key downs, they may find success. However, Troy’s proven ability to pressure quarterbacks and limit scoring could hinder Arkansas State’s offensive capabilities.

Final Thoughts

With the spread estimated around -8.5, expectations favor Troy. Their recent performances suggest superior efficiency and pressure metrics that will be critical to the game.

Final prediction: Troy Trojans 31, Arkansas State Red Wolves 20. Best bet: Troy -8.5.