Framber Valdez: Analyzing the Pitcher’s Free Agency Prospects
Framber Valdez, a 31-year-old pitcher from the Dominican Republic, is generating attention as he approaches free agency. The left-handed ace is coming off a notable 2025 season.
2025 Season Overview
Valdez’s traditional statistics from the 2025 season include a 13-11 record, a 3.66 ERA, and a 1.25 WHIP. He pitched 192 innings, striking out 187 batters while walking 68. Despite a strong start, his performance declined towards the end of the season.
Advanced Metrics
- ERA+: 114
- K%: 23.3
- BB%: 8.5
- xERA: 3.75
- FIP: 3.37
- xFIP: 3.34
- fWAR: 4.0
- bWAR: 3.8
Over the past four seasons, Valdez has established himself as a reliable workhorse, pitching a total of 767.2 innings. He ranks second in innings pitched, just behind Logan Webb. Valdez finished third in ERA at 3.21 and led the league with 57 wins during this period.
Recent Challenges and Controversies
This season, Valdez entered as a potential Cy Young candidate, with an impressive 2.62 ERA through 21 starts. However, his performance faltered, culminating in a 6.05 ERA over his last ten outings, which contributed to the Houston Astros missing the playoffs for the first time since 2016.
Valdez was involved in a notable incident during a game against the Yankees on September 2. After a controversial grand slam allowed by Valdez, he inadvertently hit his catcher, Cesar Salazar, with a pitch. Both players later clarified that it was an honest mistake exacerbated by a miscommunication regarding pitch selection.
Additionally, Valdez expressed frustration with the Astros’ defensive alignment during a July game against Washington, indicating a need for better field positioning.
Career Highlights and Future Prospects
Since joining the Astros as an international free agent in 2015, Valdez has carved out a successful eight-year career, posting a 3.36 ERA with a record of 81-52. His accolades include a 2022 All-Star selection, leading the American League in innings pitched, and throwing a no-hitter in 2023.
Valdez has a commendable postseason record, with a 4.34 ERA over 85 innings across 17 playoff appearances. He notably contributed to the Astros’ 2022 World Series victory, securing two wins against the Phillies.
Contract Projections
As the free agency period approaches, Valdez’s projected contract is significant. Jim Bowden from The Athletic estimates a six-year deal worth approximately $190 million, translating to an average annual salary of $31.7 million. Comparisons to recent contracts include those of Garrett Crochet, Tyler Glasnow, Carlos Rodon, and Blake Snell.
Valdez earned $18 million in the final year of his arbitration eligibility in 2025 and has accrued $40.4 million throughout his career. As teams look for robust pitching, Valdez’s skills as an innings eater make him an attractive target as free agency unfolds.
Team Recommendations
Valdez should be a priority for teams like the Mets, who are in need of a top-tier pitcher and increased reliability in their rotation. With the potential for high contract demands, teams must evaluate the immediate and long-term benefits of signing one of baseball’s top pitchers. The pursuit of Valdez is certainly one to watch in the upcoming offseason.
