James Uthmeier Leads in Attorney General Race but Struggles with Non-Party Affiliated Voters

James Uthmeier is making strides in the race for Florida Attorney General, according to recent polling data. The University of North Florida survey indicates that Uthmeier holds a 9-point advantage over his main opponent, Jose Javier Rodriguez.

Polling Insights: Uthmeier vs. Rodriguez

As the appointed Attorney General, Uthmeier has secured 45% of voter support. In contrast, Rodriguez, a former state senator from South Florida, has garnered 36%. Notably, 14% of the voters remain undecided or are discontent with the current candidates.

• James Uthmeier: 45% support
• Jose Javier Rodriguez: 36% support
• Undecided voters: 14%

Registered Voter Dynamics

The Republican Party’s strength significantly influences Uthmeier’s lead. Florida has approximately 1.4 million more registered Republicans than Democrats. This voter base is crucial for his campaign moving forward.

Challenges with Non-Party Affiliated Voters

While Uthmeier maintains solid support from GOP voters—80% backing from his party—he faces challenges among non-party affiliated (NPA) voters. Current polling shows him trailing Rodriguez 36% to 32% in this demographic. NPA voters represent about 20% of the surveyed population, marking a significant group that can sway the election outcome.

Expert Observations

Pollster Michael Binder emphasizes the importance of the NPA statistics for Uthmeier, who—despite being a familiar figure as the former Chief of Staff to Governor Ron DeSantis—is still relatively unknown to many voters. Uthmeier recently received an endorsement from former President Donald Trump, which may impact his visibility and appeal.

Conclusion

The poll conducted between October 15 and October 25, 2025, has a margin of error of +/- 4.25%. As the campaign progresses, Uthmeier’s ability to connect with NPA voters will be critical to solidifying his lead and securing his election as Attorney General of Florida.