2025 NFL Betting: Public Favors Drake Maye’s Rushing Prop as Patriots Take on TNF
The New England Patriots will face the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football in Week 11, a notable rematch from their last Thanksgiving clash in 2012. Back then, the Patriots celebrated a significant 49-19 victory. As the teams prepare to meet again, the Patriots are heavily favored, opening as 13-point favorites at BetMGM.
Current Betting Landscape
With a record of 8-2, the Patriots have captured attention with their impressive performances. They are riding high on a seven-game winning streak and currently boast the tenth-best offense in the NFL. However, the opening line saw movement after initial betting placed the Patriots at 10.5 points favorites.
Despite the Patriots’ strong record against the spread this season, going 7-3, trends for Thursday Night Football show a 1-6 record for favorites of four or more points this year. Bettors are considering these factors closely, especially given that 76% of the betting money is on the Patriots.
Drake Maye’s Impact
Central to the Patriots’ success is second-year quarterback Drake Maye. Maye has thrown for 2,555 yards and 19 touchdowns so far this season. These statistics rank him third in the league, bolstering his candidacy as an MVP frontrunner.
Rushing Prop Bets
Maye’s mobility adds another layer to his game. He has successfully accumulated 283 rushing yards, averaging 28 yards per game, with 62 yards recorded in a single game against the Titans. Notably, his over/under rushing yards prop for this matchup is set at 21.5, drawing significant betting interest with 99% favoring the over.
- Drake Maye’s Performance Stats:
- Passing Yards: 2,555
- Touchdowns: 19
- Rushing Yards: 283
- Average Rushing Yards Per Game: 28
Betting Insights for the Matchup
As the betting community closely watches the Jets’ quarterback situation, sharp bettors may lean towards the New York side. According to sport betting analyst Patrick Everson, there’s a significant one-way betting trend on the Patriots, but this could shift as the Jets gain some traction.
With all considerations factored in, this primetime matchup promises an intriguing betting landscape for following the 2025 NFL season. Bettors will need to weigh the Patriots’ strong performances against historical trends for the best betting decisions.