UFC Fight Night 265: Expert Picks, Odds, and Predictions for Belal Muhammad vs Ian Machado Garry
Belal Muhammad and Ian Machado Garry are set to clash in a welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night 265. This event will take place on Saturday at the Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena located in Al Rayyan, Qatar. The preliminary fights commence at 10 a.m. ET, followed by the main card at 1 p.m. ET, both available on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night 265: Key Fight Details
The matchup between Muhammad and Garry marks a significant moment for both fighters. Below are their current records and backgrounds:
- Belal Muhammad: 24 wins, 4 losses, 0 draws
- Ian Machado Garry: 16 wins, 1 loss, 0 draws
Recent Performance
Belal Muhammad is coming off a loss. He was defeated by Jack Della Maddalena via unanimous decision at UFC 315 on May 10, marking his first title defense. Prior to that, he secured the welterweight title after defeating Leon Edwards on July 27, 2024, at UFC 304.
Meanwhile, Ian Machado Garry rebounded well from a previous setback. He won against Carlos Prates by unanimous decision on April 26, showcasing his resilience after losing to Shavkat Rakhmonov at UFC 310 in December 2024. Garry has maintained a consistent performance, extending his distance-fight streak to five matches.
Statistical Insights
- Garry’s Reach Advantage: Garry has a reach advantage of 2.5 inches over Muhammad.
- Strikes Landed Per Minute: Garry averages 4.77 significant strikes compared to Muhammad’s 4.46.
- Accuracy Rate: Garry’s accuracy stands at 58.59%, while Muhammad’s is at 51.04%.
- Takedown Average: Muhammad has a takedown average of 2.24, compared to Garry’s 1.02.
Betting Odds and Predictions
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the betting lines for the fight are as follows:
- Muhammad: +225 (Bet $100 to win $225)
- Machado Garry: -275 (Bet $275 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes -275, No +195
Expert picks suggest Garry might win by decision or technical decision at a reasonable price of -125, given both fighters’ tendencies to go the distance.
This matchup is anticipated to be competitive, with both fighters demonstrating strong endurance in previous bouts. Observers are keen to see how this welterweight contest unfolds at UFC Fight Night 265.
