Serie A Chances: Inter Faces 28% Probability of Staying by Round 38 While Santos Holds Strong at 98%

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Serie A Chances: Inter Faces 28% Probability of Staying by Round 38 While Santos Holds Strong at 98%

The 2025 Campeonato Brasileiro is heading into its final round, with five teams fighting to remain in Serie A. This last matchday will be crucial as these clubs battle for their survival.

Current Standings and Survival Probabilities

Among the teams, Internacional has the bleakest outlook, holding only a 28% chance of avoiding relegation. The probabilities of the other teams are as follows:

  • Internacional: 28%
  • Vitória: 42.64%
  • Fortaleza: 49.31%
  • Ceará: 82.03%
  • Santos: 97.88%

Potential for Relegation

The situation is precarious, where even a team finishing with 45 points—a traditionally safe threshold—might still face relegation. This uncertainty adds to the tension of the final matches.

The battle for survival in Serie A this season highlights the challenges and stakes involved in Brazilian football. Fans await an exciting conclusion to the league.